1 September 2013

Newsletter Sep 2013





INDIA

A Battle for the Soul of India
Source URL (retrieved on Sep 4, 2013): 

Defence Offset Guidelines – A Languorous Journey So Far 

Maoist Movement in India—An Overview

India’s Water Crisis: Causes and Cures 

August 5, 2013

September 3, 2012

Evolution of Indian Military Concepts
Issue Book Excerpt: Indias War since Independence | Date : 24 Aug , 2013

Time Critical Targeting: UAVs
Issue Vol. 28.2 Apr-Jun 2013 | Date : 30 Aug , 2013

TWQ: Double Trouble: A Realist View of Rising Chinese and Indian Power - Summer 2013
By George J. Gilboy and Eric Heginbotham
JUL 1, 2013

TWQ: Five Myths about India’s Nuclear Posture - Summer 2013
By Vipin Narang
JUL 1, 2013

TWQ: Pakistan and Tactical Nuclear Weapons: Déjà Vu? - Summer 2013
By Shashank Joshi
JUL 1, 2013

India's Internal Security Situation: Present Realities and Future Pathways
IDSA Monograph Series No. 23 2013



Maoists: Crimson Tide
24 Aug , 2013

‘Rogue’ acts on LoC
By Gurmeet Kanwal

India lost in Afghan endgame
27 Aug , 2013

Prem Bhatia Memorial Lecture 2013 delivered by Former Foreign Secretary
Shyam Saran

India needs a new foreign policy doctrine - and a new thought leadership
By Rohan Mukherjee
Aug 22, 2013 

India's economy
Aug 24th 2013 


Geopolitics of oil and gas Time for India to plan its energy policies
by G. Parthasarathy

Once upon a food bill
Aug 28 2013, 

The reckoning
Aug 24th 2013

Will China Checkmate India on Chabahar?

Why Pakistan is Blowing Apart LoC Ceasefire?

India’s Dialogue with Pakistan a Trap

More nuclear claptrap from another ex-diplomat 
Posted on August 28, 2013

A tangled web of diplomacy - India, Iran, US and Afghanistan
Aug 28, 2013

Attack on Syria: Competitive Shia-Sunni Gas Pipelines Politics?
31 Aug , 2013

Hydro Power Development & Mandatory Purchase of Hydro Power
Shankar Sharma,
27 August 2013

'Leaving Pakistan–India trade barriers up ties political progress down '

The wider vision
Sep 02 2013

'You either normalise with China or normalise with Pakistan. It's easier to normalise with Pakistan. In the long run, competition will be with China
Tue Sep 03 2013

Indian Foreign Policy: Where does “Young India” fit in?

By D Suba Chandran

The Mahan-Mackinder Debate on India’s China Deterrence
By Abhijit Singh
August 18, 2013

National Security after 66 years of Independence
By Col. R. Hariharan
19-Aug-2013

National Interest: Once upon a spooky time
Aug 17 2013

An insecurity trap of India’s making

India’s Growing Military Diplomacy
By Nitin A. Gokhale r
August 16, 2013

The Indian Army’s Role in Nation Building
14 August 2013

Made outside India
Aug 10th 2013
COLOMBO, DUBAI AND MUMBAI

U.S. n-energy: unviable at home; strategic instrument abroad
S. Nagesh Kumar

India, Sri Lanka & Maldives: Regaining India's Strategic Space
T.C Karthikeyan

India-China Rivalry Threatens US Sanctions On Iran
By Zachary Keck
August 15, 2013

Scuppering national good under pressure
Friday, 16 August 2013 

Security challenges mount 
India fails to confront China’s assertiveness
by G Parthasarathy

India and the Age of Acceleration

Talking to Pakistan: A fool’s errand
Aug 14, 2013

AFPAK

India-Pakistan Dilemma: To Talk or Not to Talk 

Musharraf’s Indictment: Going through the Act? 

Pakistan and the New Ethos of Muslim Middle Class 

Transition in Afghanistan
Aug 1, 2013

Failing Transition: The New 1230 Report on Progress Toward Security and Stability in Afghanistan
Aug 6, 2013

India's Policy towards Afghanistan

The Taliban in Afghanistan 

Islamism and the Pakistani State 

U.S. Geopolitics: Afghanistan and the Containment of China

Gurmeet Kanwal. Institute of Peace and Conflict Studies

Alexis Sowa. Center for Global Development

Reza Jan. American Enterprise Institute

The Neighbour from Hell - Some Common Myths about India-Pakistan Relations
“Phir ek baar kiya, to dekhna” is not effective policy

India’s Dialogue with Pakistan a Trap

Why Pakistan is Blowing Apart LoC Ceasefire?

Moderate and Balanced Afghanistan: Imperative for Regional Security*


CHINA

Overrated Significance of the Sino-Russia "Joint-Sea 2013" Exercise? 

China Brief, August 9, 2013, v. 13, no. 16 

29th July 2013 

China poised to become the world’s largest net oil importer later this year 

Phillip C. Saunders. Institute for National Strategic Studies, National Defense University

Explaining the US 'Pivot' to Asia 

China’s Defence White Paper, 2013: Assertions of A ‘Super Power’ in Making?

Jayadeva Ranade
Issue Brief 241, August 2013

D Suba Chandran, August 2013

S ASIA

Surfing the Waves of Nuclear Change in Myanmar 

The Failing State Debate 
State Failure and Fragility in South Asia

ASEAN

17th July 2013 



ARAB WORLD

Airpower Options for Syria: Assessing Objectives and Missions for Aerial Intervention

Arms and Influence in Syria—Pitfalls of Greater U.S. Involvement 

The Challenge of Humanity in the Face of another Damascus Genocide

Breaking the Stalemate—The Military Dynamics of the Syrian Civil War and Options for Limited U.S. Intervention 

Libya and Syria: R2P and the Spectre of the Swinging Pendulum 

Make or Break—Iraq’s Sunnis and the State 

West Point's Combating Terrorism Center has released a Syria Special Issue of the CTC Sentinel. 

Syria and the Dangers of American Power
Source URL (retrieved on Sep 4, 2013): 


Gulf Analysis Paper: China's Balancing Act in the Gulf 

The Gulf Military Balance Volume III: The Gulf and the Arabian Peninsula
Sep 3, 2013


AFRICA

The African Growth and Opportunity Act: An Empirical Analysis of the Possibilities Post-2015

Beyond its Mineral/Natural Resources: Why Africa Matters to the World 

AFRICOM at 5 Years: The Maturation of a New U.S. Combatant Command 

Conflict Trends (No.17): Real-time Analysis of African Political Violence, August 2013


USA

America's Default Foreign Policy
Source URL (retrieved on Sep 4, 2013): 

U.S. Tight Oil Boom—Geopolitical Winner or Long-Term Distraction?

Smart Power and U.S. National Strategy 

Omens of a Hollow Military
Source URL (retrieved on Sep 4, 2013): 

U.S.-India Homeland Security Cooperation
Building a Lasting Partnership via Transportation Sector Security
By Rick "Ozzie" Nelson, Briana Fitch, Melissa Hersh, Ally Pregulman, and Rob Wise
Aug 1, 2013


ICTEC


How Much Will PRISM Cost the U.S. Cloud Computing Industry? 

Report on Project QUANTUM LEAP and Social Media Mining

Combat Identification in Cyberspace 


MATTERS MIL


Deploying the Best: Enhancing Training for United Nations Peacekeepers 

Understanding an Adversary’s Strategic and Operational Calculus: A Late Cold War Case Study with 21st Century Applicability 

CTC Sentinel, August 2013, v. 6, no. 8 

TC 3-21.75 - The Warrior Ethos and Soldier Combat Skills 

What Military Officers Need to Know about Civil-Military Relations

The Democratization of Grand Strategy 

The Killing Machines
Aug 14 2013


MISC


Strategic Trends 2013: Key Developments in Global Affairs 

Fighting Climate Change Denial: Climate Disruption in Perspective 

Israeli Experience in Missile Defense: Lessons for NATO

The Roots of Military Doctrine: Change and Continuity in Understanding the Practice of Warfare 

Joint Pub 3-32, Command and Control for Joint Maritime Operations
07 August 2013 

by ISSSP

Workshop on "Best International Practices In Building Resilient Cities,” Bangalore August 5-7, 2013
Dr. L.V. Krishnan, Adjunct Faculty, NIAS, Bangalore
Dr. Jai Asundi, Principal Research Scientist, CSTEP, Bangalore

Engaging the Public in Critical Disaster Planning and Decision Making: Workshop Summary 

26 August 2013

11 September 2012
Arun Vishwanathan

The Revolution That Wasn’t
Hugh Roberts

Ward Wilson, Parameters


Parameters - Summer 2013, Vol. 43 No. 2

by Conrad C. Crane

Women in Battle

by Anthony C. King

by Ellen L. Haring

by Robert Egnell

A War Examined: Allies and Ethics

by Hew Strachan

by George R. Mastroianni

Dealing With Iran

by Gawdat Bahgat

by Christopher J. Bolan

After the Arab Spring

by Zoltan Barany

by W. Andrew Terrill


SCHOLAR WARRIOR: CURRENT ISSUE
Spring 2013 




CTC announcements are also made via Twitter @CTCWP
The Special Issue includes the following articles:
by ISSSP


August 30, 2013, Conference Hall, NIAS
Sameer Patil, Associate Fellow, Gateway House, Mumbai
For the complete presentation of the talk click here

Indian Ocean Thursday, 05 September 2013 
There is a need to embrace an overarching strategic stability regime and to shun aggressive security doctrines to reduce the possibility of a nuclear conflict. 
  • The problems of terrorism and Non-State Actors need to be addressed jointly through institutionalised mechanisms. 
  • Water issues should be resolved through the mechanisms provided by the Indus Basin Treaty and should not be allowed to degenerate into a serious source of conflict. 
  • Confidence-building measures should be pursued to alleviate the “trust deficit” but should not be used as a substitute for the resolution of disputes. 
  • Economic co-operation and trade should be facilitated to develop mutuality of interest. 
  • India and Pakistan need to understand each other’s legitimate interests in Afghanistan and pursue them without coming into conflict with each other. 
See more at: http://futuredirections.org.au/publications.html#sthash.XI9IhW0R.dpuf

Indian Ocean Monday, 02 September 2013 
  • Pakistan’s key present foreign policy objectives are: to ensure relations with the US remain on track, particularly in the lead up to ISAF’s departure from Afghanistan in 2014; to further deepen relations with China; and to continue to improve bilateral relations with India. 
  • A stable and secure relationship with Afghanistan will be a key security and foreign policy objective for Pakistan post-2014, as this will have a direct impact on the military’s ability to deal with the Pakistani Taliban challenge. 
  • Pakistan’s crucial economic objectives today, and into the future, will be to upgrade the country’s dilapidated infrastructure, find solutions to the massive shortfall in its energy needs and to invest significantly more into the country’s health and education sectors. 
  • The Australian mining sector would have much to gain from an improvement in the security situation in the India-Pakistan-Afghanistan region. 
See more at: http://futuredirections.org.au/publications.html#sthash.XI9IhW0R.dpuf

Indian Ocean Friday, 02 August 2013 
  • India’s relations with Burma appear to have come full circle. 
  • Starting with Nehru’s pragmatic approach to relations with Burma, various Indian governments have taken the high ground, denouncing the military coup there; pragmatically recognising that even though it is a democracy, India cannot force democracies on other states; and, finally, recognising Burma’s potential as an energy source which could help develop India’s economy. 
  • India also recognises that by developing a closer relationship with Burma, it could balance China’s growing influence there. 


Friday, 02 August 2013 
  • India’s relations with Burma appear to have come full circle. 
  • Starting with Nehru’s pragmatic approach to relations with Burma, various Indian governments have taken the high ground, denouncing the military coup there; pragmatically recognising that even though it is a democracy, India cannot force democracies on other states; and, finally, recognising Burma’s potential as an energy source which could help develop India’s economy. 
  • India also recognises that by developing a closer relationship with Burma, it could balance China’s growing influence there. 

Friday, 02 August 2013 

Indian Ocean Monday, 29 July 2013 

Indian Ocean 01 July 2013 
  • With 1.2 billion people, India desperately needs energy to fuel its economic growth. 
  • Its demand for energy is expected to grow by 95 per cent by 2030. 
  • India does not possess sufficient energy resources to cater to either current or future requirement. 
  • In 2029 - 2030 at 6 per cent GDP growth demand will peak at approximately 255,000 MW and 295,000 MW at 9 per cent growth. 
  • India will, therefore, remain a net energy importer for the foreseeable future. 
  • While coal will remain India’s main energy source, there will be a growing use of gas. 
  • This situation could be to Australia’s advantage. 

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